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S&P 500 Rallies As U.S. Dollar Pulls Back Towards Weekly Lows

Key Insights
The strong pullback in the U.S. dollar provided significant support to stocks.
Treasury yields have pulled back after touching new highs, which served as an additional positive catalyst for S&P 500.
A move above 3730 will push S&P 500 towards the resistance level at 3760.
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Pfizer Rallies After Announcing A Huge Price Hike For Its COVID-19 Vaccines
S&P 500 is currently trying to settle above 3730 as traders’ appetite for risk is growing. The U.S. dollar has recently gained strong downside momentum as the BoJ intervened to stop the rally in USD/JPY. Weaker U.S. dollar is bullish for stocks as it increases profits of multinational companies and makes U.S. equities cheaper for foreign investors.

The leading oil services company Schlumberger is up by 9% after beating analyst estimates on both earnings and revenue. Schlumberger’s peers Baker Hughes and Halliburton have also enjoyed strong support today.

Vaccine makers Pfizer and Moderna gained strong upside momentum after Pfizer announced that it will raise the price of its coronavirus vaccine to $110 – $130 per shot.

Biggest losers today include Verizon and Twitter. Verizon is down by 5% despite beating analyst estimates on both earnings and revenue. Subscriber numbers missed estimates, and traders pushed the stock to multi-year lows.

Twitter stock moved towards the $50 level as the U.S. may conduct a security review of Musk’s purchase of the company.

From a big picture point of view, today’s rebound is broad, and most market segments are moving higher. Treasury yields have started to move lower after testing new highs, providing additional support to S&P 500. It looks that some traders are ready to bet that Fed will be less hawkish than previously expected.

S&P 500 Tests Resistance At 3730

S&P 500 has recently managed to get above the 20 EMA and is trying to settle above the resistance at 3730. RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain additional upside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

If S&P 500 manages to settle above 3730, it will head towards the next resistance level at 3760. A successful test of this level will push S&P 500 towards the next resistance at October highs at 3805. The 50 EMA is located in the nearby, so S&P 500 will likely face strong resistance above the 3800 level.

On the support side, the previous resistance at 3700 will likely serve as the first support level for S&P 500. In case S&P 500 declines below this level, it will move towards the next support level at 3675. A move below 3675 will push S&P 500 towards the support at 3640.

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How to Rebuild Your Credit Using Services of Subprime Lenders and Payday Loan Companies?

A lot of people can find themselves in a very difficult situation simply because they made some financial mistakes in the past. A lot of prime financial institutions require you to have high credit score and spotless credit file to be eligible for low interest lines of credit or even for a credit card. But what about consumers that made bad financial decisions, overextended their ability to pay back their creditors and had to file for bankruptcy? Even if you had to go through credit counselling services and paid back your debts, but did not fulfill your contractual obligations with your creditors, you credit worthiness is ruined.If you’ve gone through a bankruptcy and credit counselling program, you will have to rebuild your credit before any kind of credit will be extended to you. Rebuilding your credit can be a lengthy process and requires time and patience. First thing that you should do is to obtain your credit file from main credit reporting agencies. There are two main credit reporting agencies which are: Equifax and Trans Union. Obtaining your credit report is not a very difficult procedure and can be done instantly online for a fee between $15-$40 dollars or free of charge by mail. In order to obtain you credit report by mail you will need to fill out an application form (that can be downloaded from transunion.ca and equfax.com) and attach 2 pieces of id and a utility bill. You can either mail or fax your application to credit bureaus. It usually takes 7-10 business days to receive a copy of your credit file by mail. Once you get a copy of your credit file you should look for any discrepancies. If you declared bankruptcy and were discharged, all former creditors have to stop reporting to the credit bureaus after the discharge date.The same should happen to any collection items if any have been reported on your credit file. If you find any discrepancies you can download and fill out a dispute form from transunion.ca and equifax.com and submit it to the credit bureaus. Credit bureaus have to investigate your dispute and make appropriate corrections in your credit profile. Once all the discrepancies are eliminated, you will have to wait some time before all previous activity is removed from your credit file so you can start rebuilding your credit from scratch. If you went through a credit counselling program, it will take about 4 years after your program is completed for all the R7 accounts to be removed from your file. If you filed for bankruptcy it might take up to 10 years for the bankruptcy to be dropped from your credit file.Once your bankruptcy has been discharged you should get a secured credit card and make your monthly payments on time. After a year or two you bank might release you security deposit. However for the next 7-10 years you will not qualify for car loans, mortgages or lines of credit with prime financial institutions and will have to use services of subprime lenders. If you need quick cash advance (up to $1000) to pay an unexpected expense you can apply for a Payday loans are short term loans that are available to consumers in cases of emergency and at times when there are no other financial options available. Those type of lenders have high interest rates but if you do not have perfect credit rating you can still qualify for a loan with them. Some subprime lender report your timely loan payments to Credit Bureaus and some not (payday loans companies do not usually report to credit bureaus). You should double check with lenders before you apply for a loan. It is better to get financing trough a lender that will report your timely payments to the Credit Bureau as it will positively impact your credit score. Do not apply for a loan with numerous institutions at the same time. Numerous inquiries on your credit file will alert lenders and will lower you credit rating even more. Everything has a price and you will be paying for your past mistakes by having to pay high interest rates.
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SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.